Shortages Round 2?
As most people survived the TPmaggedon of 2020 and paid through the nose for their deck reno projects due to lumber scarcity and inflation, it looks like the state of shortages has greatly improved, except maybe if you crashed your car and are looking for a replacement.
I’ve somewhere recently that US COSCOs have resumed implementing limits on tp purchases. Lots of rumours also about grains owing to the lousy summer in the west.
What have you heard? What have you experienced for shortages in your areas?
Last October I wrote, "Shortage wise, in the line of work I am in, we are dealing with six to ten week deliveries for acrylic tubs and showers, anything aluminum, wood furnaces, wood/oil combination furnaces, some plastic pipe, some heat pumps."
Eleven months later there are still six to ten week delays for acrylic tubs and showers. Same for most heat exchangers (air exchangers). 3" ABS drain pipe is like gold and 1" black poly pipe is hard to come by.
Also, believe it or not, toilets are in short supply.
"A prudent man foresees the difficulties ahead and prepares for them; the simpleton goes blindly on and suffers the consequences." - Proverbs 22:3
"The man who has a garden and a library has everything." - Cicero
My auto mechanic tells me that there are more noticeable replacement parts shortages. He has been in the business for 18 years and the last 8 months or so have really stood out. He also said that if you have an bit older car that was not a huge seller it's possible less common parts may dry up completely.
Happy to report there are no widespread tires shortages, at least not in my neck of the woods.
Bought new tires yesterday, getting them installed tomorrow. Salesman told me he has no issues getting stock with a few exceptions. I think winter tires craze, at the sight of the first snow flake, will remain an annual madness period, regardless of COVID19.
Can't seem to find reasoning or a pattern but several types of construction materials are scarce. As for that, life has seemed to really returned to normal in the sense ammenities are no longer scarce.
For those in construction, or building stuff yourself, has the price of material stabilized as well? I haven’t been tracking this down of lately.
...that is a very very good question. And the answer is....it depends...
Many items were a knee jerk reaction to the shut downs required for COVID. So there was a big catch up required afterwards. Supply and demand means the oddest things that were taken for granted before were a hot commodity after.
Roxul, at one point was a 9-10 week delivery...which previously was something you could scoop off the shelf. It appears to have levelled off now but prices have yet to settle down. Same with lumber. Lumber saw exponential growth, but those prices are expected to drop in the upcoming 6 months so long as there are no further shut downs.
Many other items like steel...or speciality items such as stainless steel will not drop. theyve sky rocketed well over 100% over the last couple years and are expected to stay there.
I guess the short answer is....if people get vaccinated, and we can nip this thing in the bud with no more shut downs yes...prices will stabilize and things will go back to normal. Mostly residential construction materials will start to drop down but other materials will remain more less where they are now. lumber will drop, but it will never be back to its pre covid numbers. to much of a demand for it.
how is that for a politicians answer....lol